Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Melbourne City and BG Pathum United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Last Game: Pathum Utd 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons
Saturday, April 30 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Saturday, April 30 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Next Game: Pathum Utd vs. Kitchee
Wednesday, August 17 at 11pm in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, August 17 at 11pm in AFC Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Team | Goals against | Avg per game | Clean Sheets | |
| 1 | Perth Glory | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
| 2 | Western Utd | 4 | 0.67 | 4 |
| 3 | Central Coast | 4 | 0.80 | 2 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1.00 | 2 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 6 | 1.20 | 2 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 6 | 1.50 | 1 |
| 10 | Victory | 7 | 1.17 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 1.60 | 1 |
| 12 | Wellington | 10 | 2.00 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 50.37% | 23.4% | 26.23% |
| Both teams to score 58.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
