Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
