Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 45.92% | 24.46% | 29.62% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.07% | 51.93% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.61% | 64.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
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