

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 75.76% ( | 14.58% ( | 9.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( | 52.23% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.23% ( | 6.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75% ( | 25% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( | 41.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.81% ( | 78.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 4-0 @ 6.19% ( 4-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 5-0 @ 3.33% ( 5-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 6-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.75% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
