Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 84.59% ( | 9.44% ( | 5.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.94% ( | 17.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.22% ( | 33.78% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.18% ( | 2.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 87.12% ( | 12.88% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% ( | 38.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.89% ( | 75.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 4-1 @ 7% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 5-0 @ 5.22% ( 5-1 @ 5% ( 1-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 4-2 @ 3.36% ( 6-0 @ 3.1% ( 6-1 @ 2.97% ( 5-2 @ 2.4% ( 7-0 @ 1.58% ( 7-1 @ 1.52% ( 6-2 @ 1.42% ( 4-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 5.51% Total : 84.59% | 1-1 @ 3.7% ( 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.44% | 1-2 @ 1.77% ( 0-1 @ 1.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 5.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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