

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.65%) and 3-2 (5.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (4.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 59.56% ( | 17.23% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 78.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 84.01% ( | 15.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.85% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.11% ( | 5.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.45% ( | 22.55% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( | 16.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.51% ( | 46.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 3-2 @ 5.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.71% ( 4-2 @ 4.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 1-0 @ 2.77% ( 5-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 4-3 @ 2.53% ( 5-2 @ 2.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 5-3 @ 1.43% ( 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 6-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 5.01% Total : 59.56% | 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 1-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-3 @ 3.57% ( 4-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.23% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 3-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 23.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
