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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.65%) and 3-2 (5.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (4.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
59.56% (![]() | 17.23% (![]() | 23.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 78.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84.01% (![]() | 15.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
67.85% (![]() | 32.14% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.11% (![]() | 5.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.45% (![]() | 22.55% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% (![]() | 16.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 7.05% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 5.01% Total : 59.56% | 2-2 @ 6.32% (![]() 1-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.23% | 1-2 @ 4.46% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 23.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |