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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
19.99% (![]() | 20.86% (![]() | 59.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% (![]() | 60.46% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% (![]() | 32.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% (![]() | 69.08% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% (![]() | 12.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.22% (![]() | 38.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.36% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 9.88% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 59.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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