

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | RKC Waalwijk | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.01%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 83.01% ( | 10.72% ( | 6.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.65% ( | 23.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.93% ( | 4.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.9% ( | 17.1% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% ( | 43.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.2% ( | 79.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 3-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 4-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 4-1 @ 6.45% ( 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 5-0 @ 4.98% ( 5-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 4-2 @ 2.68% ( 6-0 @ 2.66% ( 6-1 @ 2.2% ( 5-2 @ 1.71% ( 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 7-1 @ 1.01% ( 6-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 83.01% | 1-1 @ 4.72% ( 2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 10.72% | 1-2 @ 1.96% ( 0-1 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 6.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
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