Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.