Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 34.43% ( | 28.19% ( | 37.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% ( | 59.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.52% ( | 79.48% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( | 32.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% ( | 68.76% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( | 30.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( | 66.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.37% |