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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Dundee United

St Mirren
0 - 1
Dundee Utd


Idowu (39'), Robinson (40'), Fraser (49'), Iacovitti (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moult (88')
Sevelj (65'), Ferry (73'), Moult (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 St Mirren
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawDundee United
39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)34.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.12%
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.64% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 39%
    Dundee United 34.61%
    Draw 26.39%
St MirrenDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.61%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Dundee Utd

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Dundee United
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dundee Utd
2-0
St Mirren
Holt (79' pen.), Adegboyega (90+3')
Walton (13'), Ferry (86')

Kiltie (57'), Bwomono (61')
Fraser (90+1')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
St Mirren
0-1
Dundee Utd
Adegboyega (75')
Graham (37'), Sevelj (61'), Thomson (90+5')
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Second Round
Dundee Utd
1-0
St Mirren
Graham (34')
Gallagher (20'), Graham (47'), Ferry (51'), Walton (77')

Gogic (17'), Olusanya (57')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee Utd
1-1
St Mirren
O'Hara (73' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
St Mirren
2-1
Dundee Utd
Eriksson (41' og.), Greive (83')
Fletcher (58')