Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 2, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 2
Dundee Utd

Murray (61' pen.)
Graham (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sevelj (65'), Dalby (88')
Docherty (32'), Dalby (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Dundee United

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundee United in this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Dundee United
35.85% ( 0.53)	24.31% ( 0.15)	39.84% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

-0.65)

42.52% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08% (

-0.65)

64.92% (

0.65)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-0.01)

23.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

-0.02)

57.46% (

0.02)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

-0.6)

21.42% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

-0.94)

54.43% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Dundee 35.85%

Dundee United 39.84%

Draw 24.31%

Dundee	Draw	Dundee United
2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.84%