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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Dundee

Wales (80')
Murray (61'), Deas (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cameron (71')
McGhee (9'), Koumetio (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 4-1 Hibernian
Saturday, November 23 at 5.55pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
48.16% (0.052 0.05)24.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)27.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (0.012 0.01)46.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.02% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (0.043999999999997 0.04)51.36% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)30.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.27% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 48.16%
    Dundee 27.36%
    Draw 24.47%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.36%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dundee
3-2
Kilmarnock
Palmer-Houlden (41'), McGhee (56'), Larkeche (90+4')
Adewumi (60'), Ndaba (78')
Anderson (24'), Kennedy (40')
Larkeche (78')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dundee
2-3
Kilmarnock
Larkeche (24'), Adewumi (81')
Sylla (30'), Murray (38')
Sylla (43')
Kennedy (86', 90+4'), Anderson (88')
Mayo (60')
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Dundee
1-1
Kilmarnock
McCowan (37')
Main (72')
Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')