Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Nov 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Dundee

Palaversa (53'), Keskinen (57'), Besuijen (72'), Nisbet (90+7')
Devlin (35'), Rubezic (41'), Palaversa (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murray (70')
Astley (11'), Docherty (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 3-2 Kilmarnock
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Dundee
66.83% ( 0.35)	18.53% ( -0.24)	14.64% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.08% (

0.91)

36.92% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.9% (

0.98)

59.1% (

-0.98)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.78% (

0.34)

10.22% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.48% (

0.77)

33.52% (

-0.77)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12% (

0.43)

37.88% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

0.42)

74.65% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 66.82%

Dundee 14.64%

Draw 18.53%

Aberdeen	Draw	Dundee
2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.82%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.53%	1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.64%