Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
3 - 2
Kilmarnock

Palmer-Houlden (41'), McGhee (56'), Larkeche (90+4')
Adewumi (60'), Ndaba (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Anderson (24'), Kennedy (40')
Larkeche (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Dundee
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
45.21% ( -0.98)	24.17% ( 0.05)	30.62% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

0.26)

43.46% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

0.26)

65.86% (

-0.26)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.31)

19.4% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

-0.5)

51.21% (

0.5)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.75)

27% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.97)

62.35% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Dundee 45.21%

Kilmarnock 30.62%

Draw 24.17%

Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.62%