Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 37.58% (  0.01) | 25.88% (  -0) | 36.53% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 54.64% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.35% (  0.02) | 49.64% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.33% (  0.01) | 71.66% (  -0.01) | 
| Ross County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.22% (  0.02) | 25.78% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% (  0.02) | 60.72% (  -0.02) | 
| Kilmarnock Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.62% (  0) | 26.37% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% (  0) | 61.52% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 1-0 @ 9.22% (  -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.25% (  0) 3-1 @ 3.76% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.82% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.51% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.28% (  0) 4-0 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.11% (  0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.06% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% (  -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.68% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.53% |