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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 4
Rangers

Wright (11'), Lyons (14')
Magennis (18'), Watson (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cerny (35'), Dessers (53', 62'), Bajrami (85')
Hagi (18'), Dessers (63'), Propper (72'), Lawrence (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Rangers

Rangers should be extremely motivated to bounce back from their recent defeat with a convincing victory, and given their strong record in this fixture, we expect the visitors to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
28.3% (-0.578 -0.58) 24.3% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 47.4% (0.607 0.61)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.66% (-0.213 -0.21)45.34% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)67.68% (0.202 0.2)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.52 -0.52)29.53% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (-0.638 -0.64)65.55% (0.636 0.64)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.16500000000001 0.17)19.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.273 0.27)50.94% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 28.3%
    Rangers 47.4%
    Draw 24.3%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.3%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
22.9%
Draw
6.3%
Rangers
70.8%
48
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Rangers
6-0
Kilmarnock
Tavernier (37'), Danilo (53'), Hamza (55'), Cerny (61'), Dessers (69', 77')

Bainbridge (45+4'), Polworth (62')
Oct 20, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 8
Kilmarnock
1-0
Rangers
Watkins (87')
Kennedy (58')

Tavernier (27'), Lawrence (59'), Propper (62')
May 5, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 35
Rangers
4-1
Kilmarnock
Silva (45+8'), Davies (62'), Lawrence (71'), Souttar (90+3')
Tavernier (12' og.)
Ndaba (9'), Watkins (55'), Polworth (64')
Wright (22')
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Kilmarnock
1-2
Rangers
Armstrong (11' pen.)
Mayo (54'), Findlay (81'), Watson (88')
Tavernier (55'), Lawrence (59')
Barisic (34'), Goldson (44')
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
McCausland (41'), Sima (45'), Cantwell (61')
Cantwell (15')
Armstrong (59' pen.)
McKenzie (30'), Watson (41'), Wright (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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