Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic2 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee 3-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
64
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock
The hosts are certainly the favourites to secure the win here, particularly with Kilmarnock's recent struggles for results and goals, and we expect Celtic to comfortably win this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.84%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
81.84% ( 0.04) | 11.69% ( -0.02) | 6.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
