Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 10.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
| 69.33% ( | 19.72% ( | 10.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( | 50.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( | 72.85% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( | 13.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.22% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.3% ( | 52.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.54% ( | 86.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( 2-0 @ 14.26% ( 3-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 69.32% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 2-2 @ 2.93% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.94% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
