Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna | 
| 33.95% (  -0.56) | 27.1% (  0.08) | 38.95% (  0.47) | 
| Both teams to score 50.38% (  -0.35) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.06% (  -0.41) | 54.94% (  0.41) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.78% (  -0.34) | 76.22% (  0.34) | 
| Genoa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.48% (  -0.56) | 30.52% (  0.56) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% (  -0.67) | 66.74% (  0.67) | 
| Bologna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.51% (  0.08) | 27.49% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% (  0.1) | 62.99% (  -0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna | 
| 1-0 @ 9.96% (  0) 2-1 @ 7.63% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.91% (  -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.02% (  -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.34% (  -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.95% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.85% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 4.93% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.83% (  0.19) 1-2 @ 8.3% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 7% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 3.57% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 3.01% (  0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% (  0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.95% |