Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Genoa
After his team's inconsistent start to the season, Gian Piero Gasperini appealed for patience while a whole host of summer signings settled in. Atalanta now appear to be finding their identity again, which could prove problematic for Genoa, who are surely bound for a third straight Serie A defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
57.86% ( 0.25) | 23.01% ( -0.11) | 19.12% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
