Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Atalanta logo

Shakhtar
0 - 3
Atalanta


Ghram (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Djimsiti (21'), Lookman (44'), Bellanova (48')
Zaniolo (78'), Piero Gasperini (78'), Ederson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 0-1 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, February 22 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawAtalanta BC
39.73% (-1.224 -1.22)24.64% (0.407 0.41)35.63% (0.825 0.83)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-1.313 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-1.774 -1.77)44.07% (1.781 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-1.752 -1.75)66.46% (1.758 1.76)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1.349 -1.35)22.15% (1.356 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (-2.082 -2.08)55.54% (2.089 2.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)24.29% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-0.521 -0.52)58.66% (0.528 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 39.73%
    Atalanta BC 35.63%
    Draw 24.63%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.406 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.128 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.499 0.5)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.298 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.63%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Atalanta

Shakhtar Donetsk
21.5%
Draw
23.4%
Atalanta BC
55.1%
265
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2019 5.55pm
Oct 1, 2019 5.55pm