

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 36.4% ( | 28.4% ( | 35.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.29% ( | 59.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( | 80.02% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.29% ( | 67.71% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( | 32.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.41% ( | 68.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 78 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 64 |
| 5 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Bologna | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 62 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
| 10 | Como | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Torino | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 33 |
| 16 | Parma | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 32 |
| 17 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 29 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 28 |
| 19 | Lecce | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 28 |
| R | Monza | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
