Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Sassuolo
Although Sassuolo's away record is fairly respectable, they now face an Atalanta side that has won six from nine on home soil in Serie A. Despite rotating their resources, the hosts should have enough nous to capitalise on their visitors' defensive deficiencies and make it through to the Coppa Italia's last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
61.24% ( -1.18) | 20.15% ( 0.49) | 18.61% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
