Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 3-2 Sassuolo
Neither side can be relied upon to keep the other at bay for 90 minutes, and with a number of men missing from both squads it could be an open and unpredictable encounter. Ultimately, Sassuolo's frailties are just as much psychological as defensive, so Milan can edge to victory and keep Pioli in-post for now. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
56.67% ( -0.18) | 20.63% ( -0.2) | 22.69% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.06% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
