Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
55.06% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() | 22.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% (![]() | 43.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% (![]() | 65.43% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% (![]() | 15.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.56% (![]() | 44.44% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% (![]() | 33.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% (![]() | 69.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
2-1 @ 9.86% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 |
5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 |
6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 |
7 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 |
16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 |
17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 |
18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |