La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Alonso (10' pen.)
Alonso (32'), Lago Amil (68')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Isi (17'), de Frutos (45+2')
Valentin (57'), Lejeune (68'), Ciss (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, May 13 at 7pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Betis
Thursday, May 15 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
50.13% ( 0.31)	24.56% ( -0.06)	25.32% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.38% (

0.04)

48.62% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26% (

0.04)

70.74% (

-0.04)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

0.14)

19.41% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

0.23)

51.24% (

-0.23)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.19)

33.58% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.21)

70.22% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 50.12%

Rayo Vallecano 25.32%

Draw 24.56%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 50.12%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.32%