

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 36.71% ( | 26.52% ( | 36.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( | 52.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( | 74.08% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.9% ( | 63.09% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
| 12 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 45 |
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 |
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 |
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