

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 43.2% ( | 27.9% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( | 59.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( | 79.69% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( | 27.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.38% ( | 62.62% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.81% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 |
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