MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 02:07:47| >> :120:5931:5931:
Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Independiente del Valle

Universitario
1 - 1
Independiente

Carabali (34')
Costa (45+1'), Concha (49'), Carabali (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Spinelli (28')
Mercado (43')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Independiente 2-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 53.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
UniversitarioDrawIndependiente del Valle
53.03% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.78% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.41% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.056999999999995 0.06)52.36% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)74.05% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.012 0.01)19.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)51.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54% (0.062999999999995 0.06)38.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79% (0.061 0.06)75.21% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 53.02%
    Independiente del Valle 22.2%
    Draw 24.77%
UniversitarioDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.02%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 3am
Group Stage
Independiente
1-0
Universitario
Alcivar (82')
Spinelli (69'), Ibarra (90+2')

Corzo (75'), Corzo (75')
May 19, 2021 1.30am
May 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Independiente
4-0
Universitario
Sanchez (45+3', 73'), Murillo (61'), Ortiz (85')
Caicedo (33'), Landazuri (38')

Murrugarra (10'), Barreto (23')
rhs 2.0
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