Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente2 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, April 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-3 River Plate
Friday, April 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, April 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | River Plate |
27.19% ( -0.07) | 27.41% ( -0.03) | 45.4% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
