MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 09:12:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 18, 2025 at 9pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
0 - 3
River Plate


Hurtado (27'), Di Biasi (48'), Piedrahita Diaz (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Driussi (35'), Mastantuono (54'), Aliendro (82')
Castano (5'), Pezzella (9'), Acuna (56'), Mastantuono (59'), Fernandez (66')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Talleres
Monday, April 14 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
20.96% (0.058 0.06) 28.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 50.44% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 38.3% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.92% (-0.146 -0.15)66.08% (0.14899999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.36% (-0.099 -0.1)84.64% (0.104 0.1)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.29% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.71% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)83.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.129 -0.13)26.75% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.171 -0.17)62.02% (0.174 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 20.96%
    River Plate 50.43%
    Draw 28.6%
GimnasiaDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 20.96%
0-0 @ 12.76% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 16.83% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 50.43%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 11
Gimnasia
1-1
River Plate
Castillo (83')
Fernandez (70')
Fernandez (55')
Pena Biafore (23'), Boselli (74')
Mar 17, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 11
River Plate
3-1
Gimnasia
Echeverri (29'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Colidio (86')
Simon (54')
Dominguez (11')
Rodriguez (18'), Pintado (34'), Castro (56'), Ramirez (87'), Ramirez (88')
Oct 29, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Gimnasia
1-2
River Plate
Tarragona (4')
Ramirez (24'), Tarragona (86')
Madelon (20')
Diaz (75'), Rondon (79')
Perez (19'), Diaz (72'), Colidio (90+5')
Apr 13, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
River Plate
3-0
Gimnasia
Beltran (26' pen.), Aliendro (65'), Suarez (90')
Jul 22, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
River Plate
1-0
Gimnasia
Zuculini (76')
Enrique (35'), Cecchini (50'), Muro (85')
rhs 2.0
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