Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 1
Bologna

Gimenez (73', 90+2'), Pulisic (79')
Loftus-Cheek (60'), Felix (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsolini (49')
Lucumi (37'), Castro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
40.09% ( -0.66)	25.4% ( -0.09)	34.51% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28% (

0.54)

47.72% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

0.5)

69.91% (

-0.5)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.09)

23.57% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.14)

57.64% (

0.14)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

0.72)

26.64% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

0.94)

61.88% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 40.09%

Bologna 34.51%

Draw 25.39%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.51%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan

74.5%

Draw

16.3%

Bologna

9.2%

Head to Head

Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm

Gameweek 9

Bologna

2-1

AC Milan

Castro (48'), Ndoye (82')
Casale (53')

Leao (43')
Hernandez (47'), Thiaw (54')

> Preview

Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 22

AC Milan

2-2

Bologna

Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')

Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')

> Preview

Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 1

Bologna

0-2

AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')

Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')

> Preview

Apr 15, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 30

Bologna

1-1

AC Milan

Sansone (1')

Pobega (40')

> Preview

Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 3

AC Milan

2-0

Bologna

Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')

> Preview

Form Guide

Genoa 1-2 AC Milan

Venezia 0-2 AC Milan

Inter Milan 0-3 AC Milan

AC Milan 0-1 Atalanta

Udinese 0-4 AC Milan

AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina

Bologna 1-1 Juventus

Udinese 0-0 Bologna

Bologna 2-1 Empoli

Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table