Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Feb 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
AC Milan

Castro (48'), Ndoye (82')
Casale (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Leao (43')
Hernandez (47'), Thiaw (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, February 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, February 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
36.11% ( -0.04)	26.73% ( -0.02)	37.16% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.8% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.07)

53.25% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.06)

74.8% (

-0.06)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.01)

28.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

0.01)

64.07% (

-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

0.07)

27.71% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

0.09)

63.27% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Bologna 36.11%

AC Milan 37.15%

Draw 26.72%

Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.15%