Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna3 - 1Monza
We said: Bologna 1-0 Monza
After taking a point off both Roma and Inter at the start of 2025, Bologna should belatedly celebrate their first win of the year. They are particularly tough to beat at the Dall'Ara, while Monza have won just one away game all season long. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Monza |
57.94% ( 0.96) | 24.87% ( -0.34) | 17.19% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
