Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
34.54% (![]() | 27.55% (![]() | 37.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% (![]() | 56.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% (![]() | 77.59% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% (![]() | 30.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% (![]() | 67.28% (![]() |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% (![]() | 28.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% (![]() | 64.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 13.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |