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Venezia
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Bologna logo

Monza
1 - 2
Bologna

Djuric (43')
Carboni (18'), Izzo (42'), Castro (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Urbanski (24'), Castro (80')
Lucumi (51'), Mari (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawBologna
34.54% (0.255 0.26)27.55% (0.138 0.14)37.91% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.494 -0.49)56.62% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.398 -0.4)77.59% (0.401 0.4)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)30.98% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)67.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.465 -0.47)28.89% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-0.583 -0.58)64.76% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Monza 34.53%
    Bologna 37.91%
    Draw 27.55%
MonzaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Monza vs Bologna

Monza
30.9%
Draw
29.9%
Bologna
39.2%
97
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bologna
0-0
Monza
Orsolini (5'), Ferguson (32'), Beukema (74'), Ndoye (90+4')
Akpa-Akpro (19'), Izzo (36'), Bondo (79'), Birindelli (87')
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Monza
0-0
Bologna
Vignato (70'), Birindelli (80'), Ciurria (85'), Gagliardini (88'), Mari (90+3')
Orsolini (12'), Motta (86'), Saelemaekers (86')
Saelemaekers (86')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Bologna
0-1
Monza
Donati (25')
Oct 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Monza
1-2
Bologna
Petagna (57' pen.)
Ferguson (60'), Orsolini (73')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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