Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 5, 2025 at 11.30am UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 2
Cagliari

Caprari (6' pen.)
Bondo (30'), Bianco (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zortea (22'), Piccoli (56')
Piccoli (45'), Mina (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-1 Monza
Saturday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 0-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, December 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cagliari
40.74% ( -0.01)	26.83% ( -0.03)	32.43% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

0.15)

54.18% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

0.13)

75.59% (

-0.12)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

0.07)

26.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

0.09)

61.22% (

-0.08)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.11)

31.15% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

0.13)

67.48% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Monza 40.74%

Cagliari 32.43%

Draw 26.83%

Monza	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.43%