Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari | 
| 52.12% (  0.53) | 24.54% (  -0.11) | 23.34% (  -0.42) | 
| Both teams to score 51.5% (  -0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.72% (  0.04) | 50.28% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.77% (  0.04) | 72.23% (  -0.04) | 
| Venezia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.73% (  0.23) | 19.27% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49% (  0.37) | 50.99% (  -0.37) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.79% (  -0.36) | 36.21% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.01% (  -0.36) | 72.99% (  0.37) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Venezia | Draw | Cagliari | 
| 1-0 @ 11.48% (  0.06) 2-1 @ 9.61% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 5.28% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 5.19% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.17% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% (  0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 11.67% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.98% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% (  -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.93% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.6% (  -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.01% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% (  -0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 23.34% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
