Genoa

2 - 2

Cagliari

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.