Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa0 - 1Fiorentina
We said: Genoa 1-2 Fiorentina
Genoa boss Alberto Gilardino is set to suffer more misery against one of his former clubs, as injuries have bitten his squad hard. With Fiorentina in red-hot form, the hosts will have their hands full at the back - and they are missing key men throughout the final third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.38% ( -0.95) | 23.03% ( -0.5) | 57.59% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
