Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 6
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cataldi (20', 45'), Colpani (34', 54'), Beltran (61'), Parisi (72')
Colpani (18'), Adli (42'), Gosens (59'), Ranieri (80'), Richardson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
24.05% ( 0.26)	25.33% ( 0.1)	50.63% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

-0.17)

52.77% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.14)

74.4% (

0.15)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

0.14)

36.95% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

0.14)

73.74% (

-0.14)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.22)

20.86% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

-0.34)

53.55% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lecce 24.05%

Fiorentina 50.62%

Draw 25.32%

Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.05%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 12.07% 0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.62%

How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce

18.4%

Draw

29.6%

Fiorentina

52.0%

Head to Head

Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 23

Lecce

3-2

Fiorentina

Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')

Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')

> Preview

Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 2

Fiorentina

2-2

Lecce

Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')

Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')

> Preview

Mar 19, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 27

Fiorentina

1-0

Lecce

Gallo (27' og.)

> Preview

Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 10

Lecce

1-1

Fiorentina

Ceesay (43')

Kouame (48')

> Preview

Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm

Gameweek 33

Lecce

1-3

Fiorentina

> Preview

Form Guide

Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan

Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints

Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio

Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 2-2 Monza

World Cup Qualifying - Europe

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

Paraguay

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Uruguayan Primera Division

COSAFA Cup

Gallagher Premiership

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table