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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Lecce logo

Udinese
1 - 0
Lecce

Zemura (75')
Ehizibue (28'), Kamara (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rebic (36'), Baschirotto (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawLecce
48.09% (-0.176 -0.18)24.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)27.17% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)47.99% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.236 -0.24)70.16% (0.235 0.23)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.178 -0.18)20% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.284 -0.28)52.19% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)31.75% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.064 -0.06)68.18% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 48.09%
    Lecce 27.17%
    Draw 24.73%
UdineseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Udinese vs Lecce

Udinese
88.3%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
5.0%
60
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Lecce
0-2
Udinese

Blin (17'), Dorgu (57')
Lucca (36'), Samardzic (85')
Payero (60')
Oct 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Thauvin (49' pen.)
Kabasele (5'), Thauvin (77'), Ebosele (90+1')
Piccoli (83')
Ramadani (34'), Baschirotto (72'), Pongracic (72'), Dorgu (75'), Gendrey (84')
Apr 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Udinese
Espeto (62' pen.)
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')