Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 2
Parma

Dorgu (32'), Krstovic (59')
Ramadani (31'), Dorgu (51'), Gaspar (54'), Rafia (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Almqvist (90+3'), Hainaut (90+5')
Cancellieri (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Parma
41.2% ( -0.76)	26.35% ( 0.05)	32.45% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.74% (

0.01)

52.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04% (

0.01)

73.96% (

-0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.39)

25.04% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.54)

59.71% (

0.54)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.49)

30.17% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.58)

66.32% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Lecce 41.19%

Parma 32.45%

Draw 26.35%

Lecce	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.19%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.45%