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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Lazio
3 - 0
Genoa

Noslin (21'), Pedro (86'), Vecino (90+4')
Noslin (29'), Gila (55'), Marusic (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabelli (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-2 Lazio
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawGenoa
66.97% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)20.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)12.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 42.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.23% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)73.06% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)42.34% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.73% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.26% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.16% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)84.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.97%
    Genoa 12.39%
    Draw 20.63%
LazioDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 66.97%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.63%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 12.39%

How you voted: Lazio vs Genoa

Lazio
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Genoa
0.0%
84
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Genoa
0-1
Lazio

Vogliacco (17')
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')
Dec 5, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Genoa
Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')
Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')