Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
66.97% (![]() | 20.63% (![]() | 12.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.77% (![]() | 51.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.93% (![]() | 73.06% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% (![]() | 14.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.65% (![]() | 42.34% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.73% (![]() | 50.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.16% (![]() | 84.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 14.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 13.59% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.63% | 0-1 @ 4.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 12.39% |