Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma
Given Fiorentina's recent revival, they should start favourites, but Roma have developed a habit of scoring late on and could come away with one point. The Giallorossi have netted 63% of their goals after the hour mark this season, so they can end the hosts' record as the only team yet to concede during the last 30 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
43.42% ( -0.38) | 25.9% ( 0.31) | 30.68% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
