Fiorentina

5 - 1

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.