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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino | 
| 37.7% (  -0.13) | 27.04% (  -0.09) | 35.26% (  0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 50.72% (  0.29) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.41% (  0.36) | 54.58% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.07% (  0.3) | 75.92% (  -0.3) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.96% (  0.1) | 28.04% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% (  0.13) | 63.69% (  -0.13) | 
| Torino Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.49% (  0.31) | 29.51% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% (  0.38) | 65.52% (  -0.38) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino | 
| 1-0 @ 10.52% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.16% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.69% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.46% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.27% (  -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.98% (  0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.09% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 6.16% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 2.51% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% (  0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.25% |