Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
25.69% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() | 49.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% (![]() | 50.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% (![]() | 72.07% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.93% (![]() | 34.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.25% (![]() | 70.74% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% (![]() | 20.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.27% (![]() | 52.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari 25.69%
Napoli 49.31%
Draw 24.99%
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 11.88% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 11.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.31% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli
Cagliari
12.0%Draw
16.0%Napoli
72.0%75
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm