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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
0 - 4
Napoli


Mina (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
25.69% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)24.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05)49.31% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.251 -0.25)50.11% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.224 -0.22)72.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.199 -0.2)34.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.213 -0.21)70.74% (0.206 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)20.34% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.142 -0.14)52.73% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.69%
    Napoli 49.31%
    Draw 24.99%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Napoli
72.0%
75
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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