

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli | 
| 28.47% (  0.05) | 25.31% (  0.02) | 46.22% (  -0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 53.72% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.42% (  -0.05) | 49.59% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.39% (  -0.04) | 71.61% (  0.04) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.4% (  0.02) | 31.6% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.99% (  0.02) | 68.01% (  -0.02) | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.54% (  -0.05) | 21.46% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.51% (  -0.08) | 54.49% (  0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli | 
| 1-0 @ 7.81% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 6.93% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.5% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 2.66% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.73% (  0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 12.02% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.25% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.03% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.12% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.83% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% (  -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.21% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 | 
| 5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 | 
| 6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 | 
| 7 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 | 
| 8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 62 | 
| 9 | AC Milan | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 60 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 | 
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 | 
| 16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 | 
| 17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 | 
| 18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 37 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 67 | -39 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
