

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 60.15% ( | 21.24% ( | 18.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( | 42.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( | 64.47% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( | 13.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.31% ( | 40.69% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( | 36.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.95% ( | 73.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-1 @ 5% ( 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 79 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 |
| 6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 |
| 8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 62 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 60 |
| 10 | Como | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 36 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 |
| 16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 |
| 18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 37 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 67 | -39 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
