Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 2-1 Cruz Azul
Monday, May 19 at 2.15am in Liga MX
Monday, May 19 at 2.15am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Tigres
Sunday, May 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, May 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Toluca |
49.3% ( -7.92) | 25.16% ( 2.18) | 25.53% ( 5.73) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
